reyonthehill: The DailyKos Fallacy (i.e., why DailyKos does not matter)
The DailyKos Fallacy (i.e., why DailyKos does not matter)
DailyKos is a community of seemingly well-educated and well-informed liberals spouting on about the state of the political landscape. How does this formula translate into congressional (and presidential) electoral victories for the democratic party? It doesn't. It shouldn't. And it never will.

The readers of DailyKos are not new to voting. These readers, me included, are most likely yellow-dog democrats, voting every year, primaries included. The readers of DailyKos are not political neophytes, and the ranting and bickering between the readers are certainly not attracting any neophytes to the cause.

We, the readers of DailyKos, read newspapers, then and now, and before the age of blogs (which is not really that new of an idea), posted our thoughts online to message boards (which is basically what DailyKos is). We send editorials to our local paper.

We watch the local and national news, political debate television and C-SPAN. We view the State of the Union speech every year, or, on the west coast, listen to it over the radio and respond to what the president has to say (as if someone is listening).

We are the ones at work who bring up energy and education policy. We listen to NPR. We read books. We pick up Time or Newsweek at the dentist's office, not People.

We blog.

We are not undecided voters. And that is why DailyKos, unfortunately, does not matter. Ned Lamont may win the DailyKos primary, but how many of those DailyKos readers are eligible to vote in Connecticut, and how many of them would have voted for Ned Lamont anyway? (And is it even wise for a candidate to look for support outside of their home state in a statewide election?)

It is a fallacy to believe, or worse, insist that blog support (and DailyKos, in particular) is critical to a candidacy. Political candidates need to recruit new and undecided voters to secure success, and these voters (if they do exist) do not have diaries at DailyKos.
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So far, there has been 5 comment(s)...
Hi. Found you through CotL. Not sure if every Kos reader is exactly like you, or me, for that matter. A lot of the comments I get at Kos seem very kneejerk and immature...a very black and white view of the world typical of young idealists. But I agree that a Kos vote is not a real vote, and that a candidate who feels more affinity with the blogosphere than with homeowners in his own district is likely to lose and lose big. Thanks for the thought provoking post, and keep the faith.
-- Blogger Blue Gal 7/19/2006 10:30 AM  
Hi. Found you through CotL. Not sure if every Kos reader is exactly like you, or me, for that matter. A lot of the comments I get at Kos seem very kneejerk and immature...a very black and white view of the world typical of young idealists. But I agree that a Kos vote is not a real vote, and that a candidate who feels more affinity with the blogosphere than with homeowners in his own district is likely to lose and lose big. Thanks for the thought provoking post, and keep the faith.
-- Blogger Blue Gal 7/19/2006 10:31 AM  
I know I have gone on maybe too many rants on Kos and the DailyKos community, and from my own experience, if you post a comment (or diary) that is not in line with what the majority of the masses that make up DailyKos don't agree with, good luck and watch your back.
-- Blogger reyonthehill 7/19/2006 11:02 AM  
This makes sense to me as far as dKos' direct effect.

What are its secondary, indirect effects?

I posed a similar question to a friend, in regard to Gore's movie, An Inconvenient Truth. I was dubious about its effect, but my friend described some indirect, secondary benefits that I hadn't realized. She described how her mother has become interested in global warming even though she hasn't seen the movie. Other people she respects have said good things about it, however, so her mother has been influenced by them to take an interest.

Perhaps Kos is another pebble thrown in a pond. Perhaps its value comes from the ripples that spread outward from it.

I don't participate at Kos, and I rarely read it. But it seems to me its existence contributes to the creation of a wider environment that accomodates progressive views. That seems valuable to me.

Cheers
-- Blogger etbnc 7/19/2006 2:59 PM  
Oh I agree. We owe a debt of gratitude to Kos (and DailyKos readers) in getting the liberal blogosphere mentioned and somewhat listened to in the mainstream media. As a result, we are all better off.

However, the media and DailyKos would like this new-found fondness of blog commentary to equate to congressional victories. And the DailyKos readers (me excluded) have fallen into that trap, if it is a trap at all. Same goes for Firedoglake, et al.

I think a major success story out of the blogs is our inherent ability to complement the news, not be the news.

I am not a fan of Lieberman as a senator, and if I lived in Connecticut, I would probably vote for Lamont, but I don't live in Connecticut. And once Lamont is elected, is he still going to be the next Jesus of Nazareth, or will he be another politician? (Most likely the latter.) So what is the deal with the deification of politicians from Kos? And isn't the constant selling of candidates and "demands" for donations constitute that the Kos blog is a de facto political action committee and not an independent blog?

The long-term effects are good, in general, as a result of the popularity of DailyKos. But we will see that blogs will just become another form of electioneering by political candidates and a source of money by corporations, not the journalistic and opinion-centered medium it is today.
-- Blogger reyonthehill 7/19/2006 3:48 PM  
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