Who is winning the medium-sized states? I will assume medium-sized states have between 45 and 75 delegates, in what I will refer to as the "medium state index."

Barack Obama
Iowa -- 45
South Carolina -- 45
Alabama -- 52
Colorado -- 55
Connecticut -- 48
Minnesota -- 72
Missouri -- 72
Louisiana -- 57
Maryland -- 70
Wisconsin -- 74
===
Total -- 10 states -- 590 delegates

Hillary Clinton
Arizona -- 56
Tennessee -- 68
===
Total -- 2 states -- 124 delegates

This is Obama's strong-hold. He has the strength within the liberal elite metropolitan areas, as well as enough rust-belt credibility to put him over the top in these states.

Labels: 2008